Prediction of Iowa Traffic Fatalities

Authors

Victor W. Bolie, Iowa State CollegeFollow

Document Type

Research

Abstract

The trend in highway traffic accident fatalities has important ramifications in legislation, insurance, education and law enforcement. The present fatality rate in Iowa is about 5 deaths per 100 million motor vehicle miles, which is not greatly different from the national average. The work of Lauer and Swanson on reciprocal, logarithmic and linear trends of fatality rates shows that the number of traffic deaths per 100 million motor vehicle miles is decreasing in such a way that a linear extrapolation would indicate a zero rate by the year 1978. However, as a result of a more rapidly increasing traffic density, the yearly number of Iowa traffic fatalities is steadily increasing. The purpose of this paper is to illustrate this annual trend and to graphically illustrate the fatality prediction for the year 1958.

Publication Date

1958

Journal Title

Proceedings of the Iowa Academy of Science

Volume

65

Issue

1

First Page

419

Last Page

421

Copyright

©1958 Iowa Academy of Science, Inc.

Language

en

File Format

application/pdf

Recommended Citation

Bolie, Victor W. (1958) "Prediction of Iowa Traffic Fatalities," Proceedings of the Iowa Academy of Science, 65(1), 419-421.
Available at: https://scholarworks.uni.edu/pias/vol65/iss1/63