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Document Type

Article

Abstract

The NCAA Division I men’s basketball tournament is one of the most popular sporting events in America. This paper dissects the tournament and attempts to accurately predict the four semi-finalists (“the final four”) using a binary choice logit model. The model does better than any current rating system at predicting these four teams. This paper also examines some common issues about predicting college basketball as a whole. Overall, this paper provides a insights for selection committees, participants in office pools, and coaches to help them achieve their own individual goals.

Publication Date

Spring 2014

Journal Title

Major Themes in Economics

Volume

16

Issue

1

First Page

31

Last Page

49

Copyright

©2014 by Major Themes in Economics

Creative Commons License

Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-No Derivative Works 4.0 License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-No Derivative Works 4.0 License.

Language

EN

File Format

application/pdf

Included in

Economics Commons

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