Document Type
Article
Abstract
The NCAA Division I men’s basketball tournament is one of the most popular sporting events in America. This paper dissects the tournament and attempts to accurately predict the four semi-finalists (“the final four”) using a binary choice logit model. The model does better than any current rating system at predicting these four teams. This paper also examines some common issues about predicting college basketball as a whole. Overall, this paper provides a insights for selection committees, participants in office pools, and coaches to help them achieve their own individual goals.
Publication Date
Spring 2014
Journal Title
Major Themes in Economics
Volume
16
Issue
1
First Page
31
Last Page
49
Copyright
©2014 by Major Themes in Economics
Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-No Derivative Works 4.0 International License.
Language
en
File Format
application/pdf
Recommended Citation
Fuqua, Cameron
(2014)
"The Final Four Formula: A Binary Choice Logit Model to Predict the SemiFinalists of the NCAA Division I Men’s Basketball Tournament,"
Major Themes in Economics, 16, 31-49.
Available at:
https://scholarworks.uni.edu/mtie/vol16/iss1/5