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Document Type

Article

Abstract

Following Bahmani-Oskooee and Fariditavana (2016), I use the non-linear autoregressive distributed lag model approach of Shin et al. (2013) to examine the J-curve phenomenon for the Chinese economy. Most recent studies have used methods such as the linear autoregressive distributed lag model approach of Pesaran et al. (2001) which assumes a linear relationship between the exchange rate and the trade balance. I argue that lack of support for the J-curve effect could be due to assuming that effects of exchange rate changes are symmetric. Using a linear autoregressive distributed lag model approach, I am able to find support for the J-curve effect in two out of four models. When using a non-linear autoregressive distributed lag model approach, however, I am able to find support for the J-curve effect in three out of four models.

Publication Date

Spring 2019

Journal Title

Major Themes in Economics

Volume

21

Issue

1

First Page

1

Last Page

13

Copyright

©2019 by Major Themes in Economics

Creative Commons License

Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-No Derivative Works 4.0 License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-No Derivative Works 4.0 License.

Language

en

File Format

application/pdf

Included in

Economics Commons

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